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Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of UAL common stock.



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UAL:  Week-end Altitude

For United Airlines, the Negative Volume Index is a well known indicator for market sentiment. This modern version makes use of several enhancements suggested by Norman Fosback. The plot is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the past year's average daily NVI. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





What to look for in an NVI plot for United Airlines:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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UAL:  Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for United Airlines covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of United Airlines

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward UAL while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. United Airlines stock prices are shown in red.






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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume of United Airlines

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. United Airlines share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of United Airlines

Influence of Investor Sentiment on UAL stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More UAL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

UAL Price Forecasts

UAL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends UAL

UAL Transaction Volume Trends

UAL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

UAL Calendar Seasonality

Back to UAL Index Page


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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2008 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

United Airlines historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis.


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