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Chapter X: The mood of the market toward TIBCO Software, Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators.


Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of TIBX common stock.



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TIBX:  Week-end Altitude

For TIBCO Software, Inc., the Negative Volume Index is a well known indicator for market sentiment. The modern version of the indicator has received several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





How to read the Calibrated NVI for TIBCO Software, Inc.:

In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI) of TIBCO Software, Inc.

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for TIBCO Software, Inc. covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of TIBCO Software, Inc.

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward TIBX while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. TIBCO Software, Inc. stock prices are shown in red.






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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume of TIBCO Software, Inc.

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. TIBCO Software, Inc. share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of TIBCO Software, Inc.

Influence of Investor Sentiment on TIBX stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More TIBX Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

TIBX Price Forecasts

TIBX Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends TIBX

TIBX Transaction Volume Trends

TIBX Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

TIBX Calendar Seasonality

Back to TIBX Index Page


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Next Chapter 1:

The Classical Analysis of Time Series establishes a good starting point in the analysis, and provides a high vantage point for viewing patterns of behaviour in the prices over the entire history of TIBCO Software, Inc..


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