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Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of PXD common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of Pioneer Natural Resources

For Pioneer Natural Resources, the Negative Volume Index is a well known indicator for market sentiment. The modern version of the indicator has received several enhancements suggested by Norman Fosback. The plot is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the past year's average daily NVI. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





Interpreting the Calibrated NVI for Pioneer Natural Resources:

In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI) of Pioneer Natural Resources

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for Pioneer Natural Resources covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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PXD:  Weekly Average Closing Altitude

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward PXD while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Pioneer Natural Resources stock prices are shown in red.






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PXD:  Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Pioneer Natural Resources share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Pioneer Natural Resources

Influence of Investor Sentiment on PXD stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More PXD Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

PXD Price Forecasts

PXD Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends PXD

PXD Transaction Volume Trends

PXD Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

PXD Calendar Seasonality

Back to PXD Index Page


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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2010 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of PXD by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis.


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