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Chapter X: The mood of the market toward Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators.


Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of PEG common stock.



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PEG:  Week-end Altitude

For Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., the Negative Volume Index is a well known indicator for market sentiment. This modern version makes use of several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





Interpreting the Calibrated NVI for Public Service Enterprise Group Inc.:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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PEG:  Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of Public Service Enterprise Group Inc.

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward PEG while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. stock prices are shown in red.






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PEG:  Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Public Service Enterprise Group Inc.

Influence of Investor Sentiment on PEG stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More PEG Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

PEG Price Forecasts

PEG Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends PEG

PEG Transaction Volume Trends

PEG Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

PEG Calendar Seasonality

Back to PEG Index Page


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Next Chapter 1:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of PEG by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis.


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