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Chapter X: The mood of the market toward Patterson Companies, Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators.


Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of PDCO common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of Patterson Companies, Inc.

For Patterson Companies, Inc., the Negative Volume Index is a well known indicator for market sentiment. This modern version makes use of several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





How to read the Calibrated NVI for Patterson Companies, Inc.:

In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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PDCO:  Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for Patterson Companies, Inc. covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of Patterson Companies, Inc.

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward PDCO while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Patterson Companies, Inc. stock prices are shown in red.






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PDCO:  Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Patterson Companies, Inc. share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Patterson Companies, Inc.

Influence of Investor Sentiment on PDCO stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More PDCO Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

PDCO Price Forecasts

PDCO Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends PDCO

PDCO Transaction Volume Trends

PDCO Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

PDCO Calendar Seasonality

Back to PDCO Index Page


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Next Chapter 1:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of PDCO by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis.


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