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Independent Analysis of Nextel Technical Issues - NXTL


Indicators of Investor Sentiment toward Nextel



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Week-end Altitude

A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index. This modern version makes use of several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).




Interpreting the Calibrated NVI:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

The NVI resembles a fundamental indicator more than a technical indicator in at least one respect, as it seems to be indicative over a span of months or quarters, rather then the extremely short predictive span typical of many technical signals. This chart covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude

For the trading week ending 8/5/2005, the weekly average closing altitude was 42.78 percent. The historical Closing Altitude is traced by the blue line in the chart above. The midline represents the 50 percent closing altitude. It indicates closing prices halfway between the high and low prices for the day. Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward NXTL while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. The latest data indicates a downward trend, with a slope of -30.67. Prices are shown in red.




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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

The Volume Portion is low for the latest data at 0.17. Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.Short term, the slope of this indicator is negative at -0.69.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Nextel

Influence of Investor Sentiment on NXTL stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Public Pages : More NXTL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

NXTL Price Forecasts

NXTL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends NXTL

NXTL Transaction Volume Trends

NXTL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

NXTL Calendar Seasonality

Back to NXTL Index Page


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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will loose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2005 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

This look at Nextel begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters.

Go To Chapter I