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Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of LU common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of Lucent Technologies

A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index for Lucent Technologies. Here the Indicator Plot is the Calibrated NVI which incorporates several enhancements suggested by Norman Fosback. The plot is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the past year's average daily NVI. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





How to read the Calibrated NVI for Lucent Technologies:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI) of Lucent Technologies

The NVI resembles a fundamental indicator more than a technical indicator in at least one respect, as it seems to be indicative over a span of months or quarters, rather then the extremely short predictive span typical of many technical signals. This chart for Lucent Technologies covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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LU:  Weekly Average Closing Altitude

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward LU while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Lucent Technologies stock prices are shown in red.






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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume of Lucent Technologies

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Lucent Technologies share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Lucent Technologies

Influence of Investor Sentiment on LU stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More LU Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

LU Price Forecasts

LU Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends LU

LU Transaction Volume Trends

LU Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

LU Calendar Seasonality

Back to LU Index Page


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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2010 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

The Classical Analysis of Time Series establishes a good starting point in the analysis, and provides a high vantage point for viewing patterns of behaviour in the prices over the entire history of Lucent Technologies.


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