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Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of GIS common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of General Mills, Inc.

A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index for General Mills, Inc.. This version is includes several enhancements suggested by Norman Fosback. The plot is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the past year's average daily NVI. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





Interpreting the Calibrated NVI for General Mills, Inc.:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI) of General Mills, Inc.

The NVI resembles a fundamental indicator more than a technical indicator in at least one respect, as it seems to be indicative over a span of months or quarters, rather then the extremely short predictive span typical of many technical signals. This chart for General Mills, Inc. covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of General Mills, Inc.

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward GIS while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. General Mills, Inc. stock prices are shown in red.






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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume of General Mills, Inc.

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. General Mills, Inc. share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of General Mills, Inc.

Influence of Investor Sentiment on GIS stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More GIS Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

GIS Price Forecasts

GIS Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends GIS

GIS Transaction Volume Trends

GIS Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

GIS Calendar Seasonality

Back to GIS Index Page


Associates of Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here. Material in publicly viewable areas has been been delayed. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited.



We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2008 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of GIS by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis.


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