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Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of DELL common stock.



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DELL:  Week-end Altitude

Negative Volume Index (NVI) is a traditional Sentiment Indicator for Dell Inc.. This modern version makes use of several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





Interpreting the Calibrated NVI for Dell Inc.:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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DELL:  Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for Dell Inc. covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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DELL:  Weekly Average Closing Altitude

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward DELL while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Dell Inc. stock prices are shown in red.






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DELL:  Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Dell Inc. share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Dell Inc.

Influence of Investor Sentiment on DELL stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More DELL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

DELL Price Forecasts

DELL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends DELL

DELL Transaction Volume Trends

DELL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

DELL Calendar Seasonality

Back to DELL Index Page


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Next Chapter 1:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of DELL by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis.


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