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Independent Analysis of Delta Airlines Technical Issues - DAL


Indicators of Investor Sentiment toward Delta Airlines



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Week-end Altitude

One commonly consulted gauge of the mood of the market is the Negative Volume Index. This version is includes several enhancements suggested by Norman Fosback. The plot is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the past year's average daily NVI. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).




How to read the Calibrated NVI chart:

The NVI is an elegant indicator based on sound principles but it should not be interpreted in a simplistic manner. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude

The historical Closing Altitude is traced by the blue line above. For the trading week ending 10/7/2005, the weekly average closing altitude was 54.67 percent. The midline represents the 50 percent closing altitude. It indicates closing prices halfway between the high and low prices for the day. Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward DAL while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. The short-term trend is positive, with a slope of 11.56. Prices are shown in red.




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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

The Volume Portion is low for the latest data at 0.12. Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.Short term, the slope of this indicator is negative at -0.01.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Delta Airlines

Influence of Investor Sentiment on DAL stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Public Pages : More DAL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

DAL Price Forecasts

DAL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends DAL

DAL Transaction Volume Trends

DAL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

DAL Calendar Seasonality

Back to DAL Index Page


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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will loose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2005 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Delta Airlines, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections.

Go To Chapter I