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Chapter X: The mood of the market toward Capitol Federal Financial show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators.


Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of CFFN common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of Capitol Federal Financial

One commonly consulted gauge of the mood of the market for Capitol Federal Financial is the Negative Volume Index. This version is includes several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





What to look for in an NVI plot for Capitol Federal Financial:

In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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CFFN:  Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI)

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for Capitol Federal Financial covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of Capitol Federal Financial

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward CFFN while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Capitol Federal Financial stock prices are shown in red.






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CFFN:  Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Capitol Federal Financial share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Capitol Federal Financial

Influence of Investor Sentiment on CFFN stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More CFFN Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

CFFN Price Forecasts

CFFN Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends CFFN

CFFN Transaction Volume Trends

CFFN Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

CFFN Calendar Seasonality

Back to CFFN Index Page


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Next Chapter 1:

Capitol Federal Financial historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis.


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