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Sentiment Analysis based on Historical Prices and Volumes of AAPL common stock.



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Week-end Altitude of Apple Computer

A well known sentiment indicator is the NVI or Negative Volume Index for Apple Computer. This modern version makes use of several enhancements added by Norman Fosback. The indicator is the proportion of the daily NVI as compared to the average daily NVI over the past year. The plot is orange below the unity line (neutral implication) and green above (bullish).





How to read the Calibrated NVI for Apple Computer:

In its modern form, the NVI is an elegant indicator, but requires some care in interpretation. The orange plot (NVI less than unity) is not considered bearish because a lowering of the NVI is a natural tendancy under many market conditions. When the plot is in the green area, it indicates that prices are rising on low volume sessions, which is contrary to the normal condition. This can be a tip off to "accumulation behaviour" on the part of someone or some group in the market. The indicator seems most significant when prices are falling and the NVI is rising, which indicates a market that is "buying on the dips".




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Negative Volume Index (Fosback NVI) of Apple Computer

Because the NVI operates over a somewhat longer time frame than most technical indicators, it is of interest to track it over a longer period to get a feeling for how it works. This chart for Apple Computer covers the few years before the start of the chart at the top of the page.




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Weekly Average Closing Altitude of Apple Computer

Values above the midline indicate that day traders have positive feelings toward AAPL while traces below the midline are a sign that speculators are afraid to hold on to the issue overnight. Apple Computer stock prices are shown in red.






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Daily Up Volume vs Down Volume of Apple Computer

Here the blue indicates the proportion between Up Volume and Down Volume. Again, the horizontal blue line represents the neutral point. Apple Computer share prices are overlaid in red. This is an important indicator for market timing, as a change in direction of the volume line may happen before the price turns.




For Clients: More Market Sentiment Analysis of Apple Computer

Influence of Investor Sentiment on AAPL stock prices. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More AAPL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

AAPL Price Forecasts

AAPL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends AAPL

AAPL Transaction Volume Trends

AAPL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

AAPL Calendar Seasonality

Back to AAPL Index Page


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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will lose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2008 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 1:

Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Apple Computer, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections.


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