Chalk-Talk: Analysis of AT and T



Section I:

Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for AT and T, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See T Classical Analysis.

Section II:

Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See T Short Term Risk.

Section IV:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of AT and T Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See T Calendar Year Trends.

Section V:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of AT and T prices. See Average Indicators.

Section VI:

Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See RSI Indicators.

Section VII:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to T historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Stock Prices and Politics for T.

Section VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.

Section IX:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Price-Volume Momentum.

Section X:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward T. See Investor Mood.

Section XI:

The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Section XII:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.

Section XIII:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of T prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.

Section XIV:

Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.

Section XVI:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to T over the next few months? See T Share Price Forecasts.

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