Section I:This look at Qwest Communications International Inc. begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See Q Classical Analysis.Section II:This survey looks at historical volatility of Qwest Communications International Inc. prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See Q Short Term Risk.Section IV:The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See Q Calendar Year Trends.Section V:One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Qwest Communications International Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.Section VI:Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See RSI Indicators.Section VII:A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to Q historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Stock Prices and Politics for Q.Section VIII:A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.Section IX:Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Price-Volume Momentum.Section X:Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward Q. See Investor Mood.Section XI:The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.Section XII:The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.Section XIII:Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.Section XIV:Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.Section XVI:Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See Q Share Price Forecasts. |