Chalk-Talk: Analysis of Procter and Gamble



Section I:

This look at Procter and Gamble begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See PG Classical Analysis.

Section II:

This survey looks at historical volatility of Procter and Gamble prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See PG Short Term Risk.

Section IV:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Procter and Gamble Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See PG Calendar Year Trends.

Section V:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Procter and Gamble prices. See Average Indicators.

Section VI:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in PG stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.

Section VII:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to PG historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Stock Prices and Politics for PG.

Section VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.

Section IX:

Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Price-Volume Momentum.

Section X:

The mood of the market toward Procter and Gamble show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Investor Mood.

Section XI:

The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Section XII:

Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.

Section XIII:

Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.

Section XIV:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Procter and Gamble historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.

Section XVI:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to PG over the next few months? See PG Share Price Forecasts.

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