Chalk-Talk: Analysis of PepsiCo



Section I:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of PEP by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See PEP Classical Analysis.

Section II:

This survey looks at historical volatility of PepsiCo prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See PEP Short Term Risk.

Section IV:

The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See PEP Calendar Year Trends.

Section V:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of PepsiCo prices. See Average Indicators.

Section VI:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in PEP stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.

Section VII:

This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Stock Prices and Politics for PEP.

Section VIII:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.

Section IX:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Price-Volume Momentum.

Section X:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward PEP. See Investor Mood.

Section XI:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Section XII:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.

Section XIII:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of PEP prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.

Section XIV:

Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.

Section XVI:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to PEP over the next few months? See PEP Share Price Forecasts.

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