Chalk-Talk: Analysis of Occidental Petroleum Corporation



Section I:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of OXY by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See OXY Classical Analysis.

Section II:

Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See OXY Short Term Risk.

Section IV:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Occidental Petroleum Corporation Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See OXY Calendar Year Trends.

Section V:

Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Occidental Petroleum Corporation prices. See Average Indicators.

Section VI:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in OXY stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.

Section VII:

This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Stock Prices and Politics for OXY.

Section VIII:

Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of OXY stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.

Section IX:

A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Price-Volume Momentum.

Section X:

Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward OXY. See Investor Mood.

Section XI:

The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Section XII:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.

Section XIII:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of OXY prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.

Section XIV:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Occidental Petroleum Corporation historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.

Section XVI:

Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See OXY Share Price Forecasts.

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