Section I:This look at Intel begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See INTC Classical Analysis.Section II:Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See INTC Short Term Risk.Section IV:A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Intel Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See INTC Calendar Year Trends.Section V:One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Intel prices. See Average Indicators.Section VI:Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in INTC stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.Section VII:This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Stock Prices and Politics for INTC.Section VIII:A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.Section IX:Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Price-Volume Momentum.Section X:The mood of the market toward Intel show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Investor Mood.Section XI:The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.Section XII:Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.Section XIII:Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of INTC prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.Section XIV:The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Intel historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.Section XVI:Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to INTC over the next few months? See INTC Share Price Forecasts. |