Section I:An introductory chapter looks at the price history of GM by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See GM Classical Analysis.Section II:Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See GM Short Term Risk.Section IV:The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See GM Calendar Year Trends.Section V:One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of General Motors prices. See Average Indicators.Section VI:Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in GM stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.Section VII:A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to GM historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Stock Prices and Politics for GM.Section VIII:Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.Section IX:Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Price-Volume Momentum.Section X:Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward GM. See Investor Mood.Section XI:The length of "Runs", (the number of consecutive price movements up or down) reveal some new ways to visualize Price Series Data. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.Section XII:The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.Section XIII:Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of GM prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.Section XIV:The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of General Motors historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.Section XVI:Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See GM Share Price Forecasts. |