Section I:This look at eBay Inc. begins with a Classical Time Series Analysis of the historical stock prices, providing a vantage point over patterns that will be explored in greater detail in the following chapters. See EBAY Classical Analysis.Section II:Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See EBAY Short Term Risk.Section IV:The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See EBAY Calendar Year Trends.Section V:Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of eBay Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.Section VI:Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in EBAY stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.Section VII:Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Stock Prices and Politics for EBAY.Section VIII:Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.Section IX:Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Price-Volume Momentum.Section X:Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward EBAY. See Investor Mood.Section XI:This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.Section XII:Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.Section XIII:Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of EBAY prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.Section XIV:The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of eBay Inc. historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.Section XVI:Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See EBAY Share Price Forecasts. |