Section I:Alcoa Inc historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis. See AA Classical Analysis.Section II:Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See AA Short Term Risk.Section IV:A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Alcoa Inc Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See AA Calendar Year Trends.Section V:Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Alcoa Inc prices. See Average Indicators.Section VI:Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in AA stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See RSI Indicators.Section VII:This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Stock Prices and Politics for AA.Section VIII:Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of AA stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.Section IX:A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Price-Volume Momentum.Section X:Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward AA. See Investor Mood.Section XI:This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.Section XII:Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.Section XIII:Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance Surfaces.Section XIV:The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Alcoa Inc historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Multi-dimensional Price Behaviors.Section XVI:Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See AA Share Price Forecasts. |