Forecasts for Kmart Stock Price

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Profitability during each Month

KM historical prices (in red on left side) and several types of predictions are depicted here. Predictions may be ceilings (expected maximum prices), or floors (predicted support levels), in addition to the usual target predictions. Colors of the horizontal bars denote the prediction type, with ceilings in orange, support in green, and target prices in red. Duration of the prediction target period is shown by the length of the horizontal lines.





Prediction #1 for KM
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 12/18/2002
Nearest Volumetric Price CeilingTarget Date: 3/16/03
Base Price: $0.35Target Price: $10.50
Prediction #2 for KM
Analyst: D.B. VeblenPrediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 12/18/2002
Volumetric Mean As CeilingTarget Date: 3/16/03
Base Price: $0.35Target Price: $9.58
Prediction #3 for KM
Analyst: E.S. ChasePrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.43
Prediction #4 for KM
Analyst: S.A. Chi Prediction: Ceiling PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Upper limit of typical VolatilityTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.95
Prediction #5 for KM
Analyst: S.A. Chi Prediction: Support PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Lower limit of typical VolatilityTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.33
Prediction #6 for KM
Analyst: T. PearsonPrediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential AppreciationTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.47
Prediction #7 for KM
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Raw Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.35
Prediction #8 for KM
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Deseasonalized Least Squares TrendTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.34
Prediction #9 for KM
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear TrendTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $-0.20
Prediction #10 for KM
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $0.32
Prediction #11 for KM
Analyst: C.D. Turing Prediction: Target PriceBase Date: 12/17/2002
5 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal AdjustmentTarget Date: 3/15/03
Base Price: $0.39Target Price: $-0.19


Note: Predictions may conflict with one another because they from several sources. The next page rates the reliability of each prediction source against the historical record, and gives a final composite prediction which is weighted according to the previous success of predictions from the individual analyst.





Trend Reversal Levels

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 Daily Support and Resistance


Trend reversals at various price levels form the color scheme for the background of this chart. As prices cross levels with diferent characteristics, the rate of the price movement will be changed or even reversed. For more details of these maps, see Support and Resistance.



For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for Kmart

Refined Stock Price Predictions for KM :


Public Pages : More KM Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

KM Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

Political Season Trends KM

KM Transaction Volume Trends

KM Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

KM Calendar Seasonality

CandleStick Analysis

Back to KM Index Page


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Next Chapter 1:

An introductory chapter looks at the price history of KM by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis.

Go To Chapter I