UTX - Effect of Election Cycles on United Technologies

Chapter VII: This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies.

Election Cycle Trends in UTX Common Stock.

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Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.

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Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation.

Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in United Technologies Common Stock.

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You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long.

More Political Cycles of United Technologies?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on UTX. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More UTX Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

UTX Price Forecasts

UTX Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

UTX Transaction Volume Trends

UTX Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

UTX Calendar Seasonality

Investor Sentiment

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A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.