UST - Effect of Election Cycles on UST Inc.

Chapter VII: A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to UST historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis.

Election Cycle Trends in UST Common Stock.

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Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.

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Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation.

Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in UST Inc. Common Stock.

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You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long.

More Political Cycles of UST Inc.?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on UST. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More UST Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

UST Price Forecasts

UST Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

UST Transaction Volume Trends

UST Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

UST Calendar Seasonality

CandleStick Analysis

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A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.