UAL - Effect of Election Cycles on United Airlines

Chapter VII: Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year!

Election Cycle Trends in UAL Common Stock.

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Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.

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Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation.

Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in United Airlines Common Stock.

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You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long.

More Political Cycles of United Airlines?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on UAL. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More UAL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

UAL Price Forecasts

UAL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

UAL Transaction Volume Trends

UAL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

UAL Calendar Seasonality

Investor Sentiment

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A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.