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PBG - Effect of Election Cycles on The Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc.

Chapter VII: This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies.


Election Cycle Trends in PBG Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History of The Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc.

Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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PBG:  Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in The Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc. Common Stock.







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Election Calendar Cycles of The Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc.

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long.






More Political Cycles of The Pepsi Bottling Group, Inc.?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on PBG. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Public Pages : More PBG Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

PBG Price Forecasts

PBG Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

PBG Transaction Volume Trends

PBG Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

PBG Calendar Seasonality

Investor Sentiment

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Next Chapter 8:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.


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