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Politics and Profitablility of KM Stock Market Speculation - Kmart


Kmart Election Cycle Behaviour



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Presidential Election History

Several measures point to Republican administrations being most favorable to KM stockholders. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. Republicans are favored by all measures for KM owners.




Timing the Election Cycle for Speculation in KM with 3 Month Return.







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Election Calendar Cycles

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. The offyear is the preferred year for KM, but the lowest profitability for investors occurs at an unusual time.






What is the most favorable Congressional Party for Kmart?

More Political Analysis including Congressional Cycle and Indicator Roadmap

Public Pages : More KM Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

KM Price Forecasts

KM Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

KM Transaction Volume Trends

KM Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

KM Calendar Seasonality

CandleStick Analysis

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We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who invest in common stock will loose money. We do not advocate speculation in mutual funds or index funds. Pages on this site are for entertainment and academic purposes only. Charts and concepts are property of Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. Content is Copyright 2003 by Hybrid Technical




Next Chapter 7:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Kmart Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested.

Go To Chapter VII