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Politics and Profitablility of DAL Stock Market Speculation - Delta Airlines


Delta Airlines Election Cycle Behaviour



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Presidential Election History

Whether DAL investors should hope for Democratic or Republican Presidents, depends on which measures you look at. Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation. The indicators are not in total agreement here for DAL investors. But two of the three favor the Democrats.




Timing the Election Cycle for Speculation in DAL with 3 Month Return.







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Election Calendar Cycles

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long. This company yields low profitability for investors during the few months before elections, which is typical. But the next (off) year is not an improvement for DAL, so this is an unusual pattern.






What is the most favorable Congressional Party for Delta Airlines?

More Political Analysis including Congressional Cycle and Indicator Roadmap


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Public Pages : More DAL Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

DAL Price Forecasts

DAL Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

DAL Transaction Volume Trends

DAL Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

DAL Calendar Seasonality

Investor Sentiment

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A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.

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