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BUD - Effect of Election Cycles on Anheuser-Busch

Chapter VII: This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies.


Election Cycle Trends in BUD Common Stock.



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Presidential Election History of Anheuser-Busch

Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.



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BUD:  Profitability by Presidential Party

Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation.




Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Anheuser-Busch Common Stock.







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BUD:  Election Calendar Cycles

You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long.






More Political Cycles of Anheuser-Busch?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on BUD. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:


Public Pages : More BUD Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

BUD Price Forecasts

BUD Traditional Time Series Analysis

Momentum Investing

Multi-Spectral Analysis

BUD Transaction Volume Trends

BUD Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

BUD Calendar Seasonality

Investor Sentiment

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Next Chapter 8:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision.


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