AA - Effect of Election Cycles on Alcoa Inc

Chapter VII: Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year!

Election Cycle Trends in AA Common Stock.

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Two theories compete as to the influence of the President's political party on stock prices. One camp holds that the market reacts very to the choice of president, possibly even before election day when the outcome is forseen. Others believe the new president does not begin to materially influence the market until he has been in office for some time.

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Monthly Appreciation is calculated as the percentage change between the mean price of each month compared to the preceding month. Price Periods are assigned to Political Parties three different ways for this calculation.

Best Times in the Election Cycle For Short Term Speculation in Alcoa Inc Common Stock.

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You may have seen charts that profile seasonal trends. This is similar, but it is based on the political calendar. The short (Congressional) cycle is 24 months long.

More Political Cycles of Alcoa Inc?

Political Financials with the Influence of Congressional Elections on AA. Also, roadmap and Summary of most effective indicators:

Public Pages : More AA Technical Analysis Chalk-Talk Subjects

AA Price Forecasts

AA Traditional Time Series Analysis

Moving Averages and MACD Indicators

Multi-Spectral Analysis

AA Transaction Volume Trends

AA Analysis of Short Term and Long Term Risk

AA Calendar Seasonality

CandleStick Analysis

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Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of AA stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength.